Golden State is still without Wiseman and have been getting cooked by big men recently. I like Cody Zeller over 10.5 and would even be open to bumping it up to 15+ at +270. I also like his over for alt rebounds at 8.5 with +118 odds and could even be willing to raise it to 10 rebounds, as I feel he will eat on the glass on both sides of the court tonight. Coming off a huge 17 and 12 performance, Zeller should have his way against a team who has struggled to slow down big men. While Golden State is favored, I am riding with the hornets moneyline, as I feel Rozier is going to have another incredible game scoring the ball. I also see Lamelo flirting with a triple-double tonight in what will probably be a decently high scoring game.
Below are some player prop doubles I like for this game.
Zeller double-double and win +560
Rozier 30+ and win +1060
Lamelo triple double and win +1400
Oubre 20+ and win +320
I like Bam to score 20+ and to grab 12 rebounds. With no AD still, Bam will be mainly battling on the glass with Bron and Kuzma and Gasol which gives him an advantage. I like Duncan Robinson to score 15+ points again as the Lakers give up their fair share of points. With Schroder out again, Kendrick Nunn over 15+ might be my favorite play from this game. Nunn has consistently been in that range scoring 16 last game. Lebron over 2.5 threes being +108 is very tempting to me, while he has struggled from deep recently, the Heat do not defend the three-point line very well. While this game should be very competitive, I’m rolling with under 17.5 points for Jimmy Butler. Jimmy is more than capable of going over, but I see him as more of a facilitator tonight as I think Bam carries the load heavily.
Prop doubles I like
Kendrick Nunn 20+ and win +1060 (mainly just love the odds, dart toss at best)
Jimmy Butler Triple double and win +1060 (might as well ride untill it misses right?)
Kyle Kuzma 20+/ double-double and win +480/+420
Any of Lebron’s prop doubles
I like Ja Morant over 19.5 points as the Suns are in the middle of the pack for points allowed to point guards in the league. Devin Booker is on my no bet list for a while after last night. Needed him to score 25, and this man had 23 going into the fourth. He didn’t score at all during the Suns 21 + point swing to win the game. This is his second straight bad fourth quarter, and as the best scorer on the team, he has now disappeared twice in the clutch. Chris Paul over 8.5 assists should also be a very solid play as he had 19 last night. My favorite player prop doubles from this game are Ayton double double/ 15+ points and Chris Paul 20+/double-double.
I kind of like Coby White to drop 20 tonight as well as Fox to drop 25+ as both teams are awful at guarding point guards. They are the third and fourth worst teams overall guarding the position, so points should come with ease in this game. The Kings are the worst team against shooting guards so I also expect Lavine to go over 30 and could even be open to taking him at 35+. Coby White 20+ and win is set at +450 while Lavine 35+ and win is at +460 (I love both plays). I like the Bulls moneyline as well as the spread of +1.5. While the Kings have been solid, I think the wrong team is favored here as the Bulls should take care of business at home.
This is going to be such a incredible matchup. While neither team is having a season to write home about, both teams enter on sort of their own hot streaks. With Washington winning three straight and Portland winning six straight games. Dame and Russ always go at it when they face off, so why expect anything different in a matchup of two teams that do not really show up to play defense. I like Dame 35+ and Blazers to win because Dame is a scoring machine. He could drop 60 tonight to spite the All-Star starter “snub” and I would not be surprised. Hammer the overs for Dame props as I feel like tonight could be a career night for a guy who’s had his fair share of huge games. I like Russ to get a triple double as he’s not on Dame’s level as a scorer, so for him to match Dame like he always tries, he will be racking up stats. I think Beal can have a big game tonight but I might stay away from him, but 35+ could be a very realistic play that he normally hits in his sleep. Gary Trent 15+ and win is another prop double that is almost a guaranteed hit in every game they win. Same goes with his 3+ made threes and win prop double, easy money. These teams are the worst defensively against point guards in the entire NBA, so expect the backcourts to light up the box score.
$2 scratcher parlay (pays $367.67)
Last night, I put together a five-leg parlay and the odds are just too tempting for me. I could not help but to sprinkle a little money on this. This isn’t a parlay I would recommend placing a max bet on because there are a lot of moving parts and things that need to bounce the right way. But it is very realistic even if you chose to round robin.
5 leg parlay +18384
Terry Rozier 25+ and win +182 (can take 30+ as well for an added risk)
Kendrick Nunn 15+ points +110
Deandre Ayton Double-double and win +142
Zach Lavine 30+ points and win +285
Damian Lillard 35+ points and win +235