As we reach the 2nd half of the regular season, the contenders have emerged. At the same time, some other teams––the Titans, Browns, Rams–– have shown their limitations. Nonetheless, Sunday’s slate of Week 9 games is about to kick off, and so, here are three lines that don’t make sense to me.
Overall Record: 5-1
Seahawks (-3) @ Bills
First off, the Bills are a fake 6-2 team. They have been quite unimpressive in each of their last four games, dating back to the Tuesday night game in Tennessee. Josh Allen, as his fantasy managers know well, has really come back down to earth after his early-season success. They haven’t been able to form a respectable ground game this season, and their defense, which was supposed to be good, has not been good.
On the flip side, Russell Wilson, D.K. Metcalf, and Tyler Lockett should do very well today. Something about Wilson scrambling around in Buffalo, with no fans, tells me that he should have 300+ total yards and 3+ total touchdowns. Obviously, the Seahawks defense has been terrible this season, but they’ll get Jamal Adams back who should help with controlling Stefon Diggs; plus, Carlos Dunlap will make his debut for them. I know the Seahawks play in weird games, but this Week 9 line should really be Seahawks -4.5.
Giants @ Football Team (-2.5)
I get it. The NFC East. It’s disgusting. But I think the Football Team of Washington is in a great spot to cover the 2.5 today. Having won two weeks ago to enter their bye on a good note, they should be feeling healthy and confident entering this matchup. Terry McLaurin was named a captain over the bye, and by all accounts, he seems like a guy that they rally around.
The Giants were frisky on Monday Night and almost went to overtime against a really good Bucs team, but that actually makes me think that they’ll come out a little flat against a much inferior opponent in the Football Team, as opposed to the Bucs. I don’t think they’ll play with as much poise and energy as they did on Monday. Plus, the defensive front of Washington should have a field day sacking and forcing fumbles on the fumbling machine that is Daniel Jones.
Dolphins (+6) @ Cardinals
I could use similar logic to back the Cardinals here: They won two weeks ago before their bye and their opponent has an unproven quarterback on a team that overachieved expectations in their most recent game. But this is the NFL, and on a week-to-week basis, weird things happen in the NFL and this game has “weird” written all over it.
Miami traded away Isaiah Ford, and won’t have their two top running backs this week due to injuries, but their defense has come on strong recently and could confuse Kyler Murray at times. I wouldn’t be shocked at all if Murray throws multiple INTs and Brian Flores has his team poised for the upset. Ultimately though, I think it’s asking a lot for Tua to win a game like this, but I think the Dolphins cover the six points in Week 9 and the final score is something weird like 25-23.