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Dec 16, 2018; Chicago, IL, USA; Green Bay Packers running back Jamaal Williams (30) rushes the ball against Chicago Bears inside linebacker Roquan Smith (58) during the second half at Soldier Field. Mandatory Credit: Mike DiNovo-USA TODAY Sports

Week 16 DFS Value Picks – Main Slate

Looking for some daily fantasy football knowledge outside Chill, Marry, Kill for Week 16? Because you lost your fantasy league??? Keep in mind many players featured in that article can apply to daily fantasy as well so check it out!

Here are your best DraftKings values for the Week 16 games. If you got your ass knocked out of your seasonal league look no further than DraftKings. The best strategy as always with the tight salaries and smaller slates is to get your studs at running back (Ezekiel Elliott, Saquon Barkley, Nick Chubb, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara) and go cheaper at the other positions. So wide receivers, quarterbacks, and tight ends will be heavily featured here.


Dak Prescott ($5,500) – DAL

One of the better cash plays this week, Prescott let owners down last week. Expect Prescott to bounce back. Every single game this season he has gone from a good game to bad game. Looking after Amari Cooper joined the team Prescott numbers have gone as follows: 15.82, 21.70, 14.82, 27.36, 14.16, 26.40, 7.24. So that pattern would assume he would bounce back in this spot. Tampa Bay gives up the 4th most fantasy points to the QB position. Also, Dak is at home in Week 16 where he averages 26 fantasy points per game versus just 17 fantasy points per game on the road.

Sam Darnold ($4,900) – NYJ

Sam Darnold at home this season is quietly averaging 21 fantasy points per game. He is coming off his best fantasy outing to date, and the Packers are on the schedule. The Packers this season on the road have allowed the 4th highest yards per attempt (8.1), 249 passing yards per game, and 2.1 passing touchdowns per game. Over the past four weeks, they have allowed the eighth most fantasy points to the QB position. In the potential for a sneaky shootout against Aaron Rodgers (The Jets defense is not good), Darnold has some serious upside this week.

Dec 15, 2018; East Rutherford, NJ, USA; New York Jets quarterback Sam Darnold (14) drops back to pass against the Houston Texans during the first quarter at MetLife Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

Running Backs

Jamaal Williams ($5,400) – GB

With the injury to Aaron Jones, Williams automatically becomes the workhorse in Green Bay. The reason I really like him this week besides his lower price is that usage. He sees work in both the ground game and in the passing game making him game script proof. The Jets have been very good against RBs allowing the fewest fantasy points to the position over the past four weeks. The New York Jets this season have allowed 125 yards per game and 118 yards per game over their last three. That in addition to allowing 4.5 yards per carry. The Jets allow 28 rushing attempts per game to opposing RBs. Expect Jamaal to get all the carries, with the Packers just having Kapri Bibbs as the only other running back. Any running back not named Frank Gore that has gotten 15 carries versus the Jets has scored double-digit fantasy points. He is both a cash play and GPP play.

Matt Breida ($4,200) – SF

Strictly a GPP play, a banged up Breida takes on the Chicago Bears at home. The Bears rushing defense is elite at home, but they allow almost 40 more rushing yards per game on the road. Breida is averaging 15 fantasy points per game in home games this season and seems to always play better when he is limited throughout practice. He will be very under-owned making him a perfect target in GPPs. Three of the last four running backs that have faced the Bears have scored at least 16 fantasy points. He also has a role in the passing game indicative of his five targets from last week.

December 16, 2018; Santa Clara, CA, USA; San Francisco 49ers running back Matt Breida (22) face mask is pulled by Seattle Seahawks middle linebacker Bobby Wagner (54) during the third quarter at Levi’s Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports

Elijah McGuire ($4,700) – NYJ

McGuire had 18 carries for 42 yards and a touchdown while catching three of four targets for 29 yards in Saturday’s loss to the Texans. McGuire was the top backfield option for the Jets with Isaiah Crowell out. He was not great in terms of yardage but salvaged the tough matchup with a touchdown score. The Packers have allowed the seventh-most rushing attempts and eighth-most rushing yards to the RB position over the past four weeks. The Packers are also allowing 1.3 rushing touchdowns per game on the road this season. Again his involvement in both the passing and ground game McGuire becomes both cash viable and GPP play.

Wide Receivers

Robby Anderson ($4,500) – NYJ

He is the WR chalk of the week. But I think he is good chalk. Over the past four weeks, the Packers have allowed the ninth-most fantasy points to the WR position. Anderson has now seen over the past nine games an average of 6.89 targets per game. On the year Green Bay gives up the 3rd most fantasy points to the WR position. Darnold has come out and said that when he is in trouble he is looking for Anderson downfield. With his consistent target share over the most recent weeks, Anderson needs to be an 🔒 in cash.

John Ross ($3,800) – CIN

Everybody seems to hate John Ross, but here’s the thing. They finally started to target him deep last week. His ADOT and Air Yards through Weeks 12-14: 11.9 yards & 167 total air yards. His ADOT and Air Yards Week 15: 18.8 yards & 94 total air yards. The Cleveland Browns have allowed 4th most air yards and 3rd most receiving yards this season. There are no receivers left on the Bengals so I like Ross’s sneaky upside this week in GPPs.

Dec 9, 2018; Carson, CA, USA; Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver John Ross (15) during the game against the Los Angeles Chargers at StubHub Center. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

Antonio Callaway ($3,900) – CLE

The Bengals have a bad defense. Like stanky bad. They have allowed the fourth-most passing plays over 20 yards this season. To receivers specifically, they have allowed double-digits to one receivers in each game over their last four. Back in Week 12, Callaway went 4-62-1 on five targets against the Bengals.

Marques Valdes-Scantling ($3,700) – GB

The Packers are going to probably be without Randall Cobb this week, moving Valdes-Scantling back into the slot like earlier in the season. The Jets cannot cover the slot. Buster Skrine their slot corner allows .47 fantasy points per route run which is fourth highest in the NFL.

Tight Ends

Austin Hooper ($3,700) – ATL

My man Derek sums up Hooper’s outlook real good. And better yet, no Shaq Thompson.