Looking for some daily fantasy football knowledge outside Chill, Marry, Kill for Week 13? Keep in mind many players featured in that article can apply to daily fantasy as well so check it out!
Here are your best DraftKings values for the Week 13 games. With no teams on bye weeks, we have a full slate. The best strategy as always with the tight salaries is to get your studs at running back (Todd Gurley, Christian McCaffrey, Aaron Jones, Saquon Barkley) and go cheaper at the other positions. So wide receivers, quarterbacks, and tight ends will be heavily featured here.
Quarterbacks – QBs you can get for equal or less than $6,000 in Draftkings
Andrew Luck ($5,800) – IND
This price has to be a joke…Luck is averaging 24.3 DraftKings fantasy points per game and has thrown at least three touchdowns in every game since Week 4. People might be afraid because of the @ Jacksonville matchup, but Jacksonville has allowed the fifth most fantasy points per game to the QB position over the past four weeks. Lock him into your cash lineups. Jacksonville has the fourth-lowest pressure rate (9.5%) in the NFL. Luck is going to have all day to toss the rock, especially behind his elite offensive line.
Matt Ryan ($5,600) – ATL
*GPP ALERT* – People are down on Matt Ryan this week and by gosh it makes no sense to me. The Ravens have allowed 18 plus fantasy points per game over the last four weeks to the QB position, and have allowed more than 19 fantasy points in 3 of their last 4 games. Also, Matt Ryan at home this season is averaging over 32 points per game…The Ravens defense also allows a 92.2 passer rating in road games compared to 76.1 in home games. I think Ryan can be a cash play as well as a GPP play.
Marcus Mariota ($5,200) – TEN
Is Mariota healthy? Yep. Is he playing a Jets defense that has allowed multiple passing touchdowns in seven of their last eight games played? That is correct. At this price, Mariota is a super-value against the not-so-special Jets’ defense. Mariota has scored 21 plus fantasy points in two of this three home games started this season and has scored 21 plus in three of his last four games in general. And that rushing upside doe 🏃♂️🏃♂️🏃♂️.
Derek Carr ($5,000) – OAK
There’s defintely a narrative where the Raiders keep up in this game versus the Chiefs. Well, at least they will have opportunities too. The Chiefs have the most points per game in the first half (19.6) and the second most in the second half (17.6). They do not stop scoring. The defense allows 26 points per game and almost 400 yards of offense per game along with 297 passing yards per game also worst in the NFL. In his career, Derek Carr in games where he has thrown for over 297 yards he has averaged 27.2 fantasy points per game. Considering the Raiders also scored 17 points on the road versus a very good Baltimore defense, I would project they could easily score 24 points versus the Chiefs’ horrible defense. Carr’s two best fantasy outings came this season when he was at home and the Raiders scored more than 24 points. I think both are really in play for Sunday’s game.
Jeff Driskel ($4,500) – CIN
We love sub 5K QBs that are mobile! We saw it earlier this year with Lamar Jackson, and Driskel finds himself in a similar spot! The Broncos have allowed the tenth most fantasy points to the QB position over the last four weeks. He opens up a ton of possibilities at his cheap price and A.J. Green will be returning from injury in this game. Denver tends to play much worse away from Mile High as well. They allow 2.2 passing touchdowns per game on the road.
Spencer Ware ($4,000) – KC
Chalk, chalk, and more chalk. With the news of Kareem Hunt’s release Spencer Ware becomes an immediate top ten running back. At $4,000 Ware seems absolutely destined to hit 3x on his price based on the matchup against the Raiders. Oakland gives up the 8th most fantasy points to the RB position. Fade in tournaments as he will have very high ownership.
Carlos Hyde ($3,300) – JAX
With the majority of people running towards T.J. Yeldon at $4,400 people will overlook Hyde. But here’s the thing. Hyde is a strong candidate to dominate the Jaguars in carries within the Leonard Fournette role. He’s a strong pivot from Ware and should see at least 15 carries. 5 running backs with 15 plus carries against the Colts this season has seen at least nine fantasy points. I would not say Hyde is a super upside play, but could easily roll into the end zone. Fournette has seen the 4th most red zone opportunities in the NFL over the last three weeks. That role will transition to Hyde giving him a good chance of scoring. The Colts have allowed 52% of runs inside the 5-yard line to convert into touchdowns.
Jordan Howard ($4,000) – CHI
Another pivot off Ware, Howard has the juciest of matchups this week versus the Giants. The last four weeks have seen four running backs go for 84 yards or more along with touchdowns for all of them. The Giants have allowed 29.3 rushing attempts over their last three games, so there’s a chance Howard sees enough volume to be productive. Still with a 47% carries market share double-digit targets is defintely in the cards for Howard. Only one running back Wendell Smallwood was unable to eclipse double-digit fantasy points against the Giants this season with double-digit carries.
Chris Godwin ($4,000) – TB
No DeSean Jackson means it’s plus time for Chris Godwin. Over the past four weeks, the Panthers have allowed the second-most fantasy points to the WR position. In the two games, Godwin has played without Jackson in the lineup he has averaged 18 plus fantasy points per game. Locked in this week for sure in cash.
Kenny Stills ($3,800) – MIA
The squeaky wheel gets the grease? You betcha. Stills complained about not getting the ball enough and we see this all the time with wide receivers. After this happens, they go and get the ball. Even though the matchup blows versus the Buffalo Bills defense because they give up the fewest fantasy points to the WR position. I like Stills because he is seeing more work in the slot with Danny Amendola injured. In Week 12, Stills saw the largest percentage of snaps in the slot (72%). He will see less Tre’Davious White for sure. The Bills allowed Dede Westbrook a primary slot receiver to 44 yards and a touchdown last week. The two wide receivers that have gone over 100 yards against them were both slots receivers in Julian Edelman and Adam Thielen.
Bruce Ellington ($3,500) – DET
Over the past four weeks, the Rams have allowed the most fantasy points to the WR position. Despite running three fewer routes than T.J. Jones, Ellington has 16 targets over the last two weeks. We chase cheap targets in our cash lineups making Ellington yet again another cash play darling in a game that should see Matthew Stafford throwing a ton. The Rams have allowed 36 passing attempts per game over their last three weeks. Stafford has 36 plus passing attempts in his last five games.
Matt LaCosse ($2,500) – DEN
He’s the cheapest TE you are going to see this week and he is going to get starter snaps. The Bengals have also allowed the second-most fantasy points to the TE position this season.
C.J. Uzomah ($3,400) – CIN
What tight end has run the most routes over the past two weeks you ask? Uzomah with 83 routes run. Sure he has done not much with along with his 17 targets which rank second most over the last two weeks. Uzomah has everything going for him to succeed, so perhaps the matchup against the Broncos will help him produce. Over the past two weeks, the Broncos have allowed the fourth most receptions (15), third-most targets (21), and fourth-most yards (192).