Football gamblers, it’s time to come out of hiding. If you’re like me and hate betting baseball, then you’re smiling from ear to ear with the return of the NFL. It’s like Christmas in September. With that being said, let’s get right into the action with some over / unders for Week 1.
*All lines taken from Oddshark. Lines are subject to change*
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New Orleans Saints, O/U 49.5
This game is more of what the Saints can do instead of what the Bucs can’t do. The Saints are going to win a lot of football games this year. More importantly, they are going to put the ball in the end zone. I can’t even imagine game planning against them. Both Alvin Kamara and Michael Thomas could end up in the top five statistically at their respective positions. Also, last time I checked, Drew Brees is still their quarterback and he’s coming off of a “down” year of 4,334 yards and 23 touchdowns while completing 72-percent of his pass attempts. The Bucs defense also gave up the most yards per game last year so expect big days for the Saints’ stars. If we’re being honest, I’ll save you time in breaking down the Bucs offense. It’s Mike Evans and that’s about it. Jameis Winston is out via suspension and the running back committee of Ronald Jones nor Peyton Barber is not too promising. Do you trust the Bucs to get into a shootout with Ryan Fitzpatrick at quarterback? I don’t. I see a 31-14 game.
P.S. This happened last time the two teams met in New Orleans. Maybe the game will feature Round 2.
BREAKING: Mike Evans has officially been suspended for 1 game for this fight…pic.twitter.com/yYLpd5c1dB
— NFL Stats (@NFL_Stats) November 6, 2017
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Los Angeles Chargers, O/U 48
I am the conductor of the “Patrick Mahomes is going to be a beast” train. Actually, I’ll just be a passenger because ESPN NFL analyst Louis Riddick drives that train. That being said, we know that Mahomes has the arm talent. I could watch this 70 yard strike to Tyreek Hill on repeat all day.
— NFL (@NFL) August 18, 2018
Mahomes also has the luxury of throwing to studs like Hill, Travis Kelce, and Kareem Hunt. What I’m saying is that I like the Chiefs offense. Kansas City totaled the fifth most years in the NFL last year with just over 6,000. Coincidentally, do you know which team was fourth? The Los Angeles Chargers. Just like the Chiefs, the Chargers have a plethora of weapons lead by their Top 5 fantasy running back from a season ago, Melvin Gordon. Don’t sleep on Philip Rivers as well. Rivers threw for 4,5000 yards and 28 TDs in 2017. The bottomline is that I expect both of these teams to light up the scoreboard. I would not be shocked if the over is hit early in the 2nd half.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cleveland Browns, O/U 46
I am a Le’Veon Bell fantasy owner and I am officially worried about his status for this season. I’m already not expecting him to play against the Browns on Sunday.If Bell does not play, it changes everything. I understand the Steelers still have Big Ben, Antonio Brown, and Juju Smith Schuster, but can backup running back James Conner carry the load? I’m not so sure. Long term, who knows how many games he will play. If he comes back, the Steelers will run him into the ground. If he doesn’t play, it’s a redshirt year for him to rest up and he will most likely get paid by another team next year. It’s a very weird situation.
Le'Veon Bell has not yet reported to the Steelers. Does that impact his draft value at all? pic.twitter.com/x8HaupT1BA
— Field Yates (@FieldYates) September 4, 2018
On the other side of the field are the Cleveland Browns, who have not won a game since Christmas Eve in 2016. The Browns have turned a lot of heads this offseason thanks to their appearance on Hard Knocks. Tyrod Taylor is going to start at QB instead of #1 pick Baker Mayfield. Taylor will have the luxury of throwing to a nice 1-2 combo of Jarvis Landry and Josh Gordon.
Will all that being said, the Steelers and Browns seem to always be in a dogfight. Last season, the two teams played on opening day and the score was 21-18 in favor of the Steelers. In fact, 8 of the last 11 Steelers-Browns have hit the under with an average of 41 points. I’m riding the trend and going with the under.
Good luck this week. Let’s cash boys and girls! Crow will be served