Nascar Gambling Cheat Sheet 4-25: Talladega

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Hosted by
Terry Collins

Listen up everyone, I’m back once again with Nascar gambling advice. How am I qualified to do this you may ask. Well folks, I was born a fan of Nascar. The Nascar life chose me. I’ve been second hand inhaling Marlboro Reds, Winston shorts, and crushing cheap light beer cans for a nickel a pop since I was knee high to a grasshopper. Dirt track races, and demolition derbies on Saturdays and asphalt racing on Sundays. It’s my redneck way of life. Oh, and did I mention that last time I gave out picks for Nascar I listed 5 drivers…..4 of them finished in the top 5 if I remember correctly. You’re welcome.

Now that I’ve listed off my resume for you all to appreciate, let’s get to the heart of the matter. ‘Dega is more than just a super speedway, it’s a holy event. This race will ultimately come down to the same thing as it always does…..missing the big one. For years now we have seen primarily two gameplans from drivers. Either get to the front to avoid the wrecks behind you, or cruise around the back in hopes that you can see the wreck in front of you and miss it. Historically speaking, Fords have been the dominant car maker winning 9 of the last 11 races. I’m not certain that continues here.

I’m not going to go super in depth here. We are looking for 4 drivers to bet on here. I like to do 3 top level drivers, and then one middle of the pack semi flyer pick when it comes to Talladega. I’ll have each driver to outright win, along with each to place top 3. Talladega isn’t for the faint of heart, so tighten your belt, get a case of beer, and hold on to your ass cheeks folks. Let’s get into it.

Drivers To Bet On:

Denny Hamlin +650

If you follow Nascar even a little bit you should know by now that you always need to bet on Denny Hamlin because he is that damn good. Denny and his Toyota are starting on the pole today and are extremely hard to beat regardless of the track. Pointing out any recent history for Denny is redundant because he is consistently good each and every week. This track is normally dominated by Ford, but anyone can end up in victory lane in a non Ford car, it’s Denny.

Ryan Blaney +1100

Blaney is extremely hard to beat at Talladega as of recently. Out of the last 3 races Ryan Blaney has won 2, and I really look for him to preform well again. This isn’t my favorite bet for overall winner, but I LOVE him as a top 3 finisher. I’ll have him both ways, but if you need to take one, go with a top 3 finish. Starting 7th should give him ample ability to stay out in the front pack all day, and between his and Fords good fortune at the track you can’t pass him up at this value.

Kyle Larson +2000

We have arguably the most talented driver in the sport, who has been competitive all year, starting 12th, at this line. I honestly would have expected odds closer to +1000 for Kyle and his #5 Chevrolet so at this price you can’t pass him up. I’m assuming this line is because of his average finishing position of 22nd here, but that was a completely different Kyle Larson then. We have seen Kyle be one of the fastest guys on the track at almost every track this year. I’ll gladly take him with these generous odds.

Chase Briscoe +8000

Remember back when I previously said I like to take a flier? Well here he is. Briscoe and his Ford haven’t exactly been red hot at Dega with 3 top 20’s and 1 top 10 but he hasn’t exactly been terrible either. Chase has shown moment of being able to run upfront with the big dogs, and I really like this spot for him to possibly shock some people. If he can miss the wreck when, not if, it happens I think he just might have an outside chance to take home the trophy. At these odds you can’t really go wrong. Little cost, big potential reward.

Checkered Flag

Here we are again. This is the point where I awkwardly try to end the blog and shout out my Twitter……@TCollins1012. In all seriousness, if you aren’t a Nascar fan already, I highly recommend you watch this race. It’ll be hours of fast cars, wrecks, and unpredictability. Anyone taking my bets, good luck!

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Episode 346