With the beginning of a new week we are confronted with an interesting situation. Post NBA deadline we are now seeing teams that we knew in depth 10 days ago morph into completely different teams. We can only speculate in terms of fantasy implications. Sure, some teams are the same, or at least very similar to what they were prior to the deadline. But what should we expect from the teams, and players who find themselves in entirely new situations? The obvious question marks are going to be usage rates, and playing time. Keep that in mind during your NBA DFS decision-making process.
Coming off an insane weekend I can’t stress enough that keeping an eye on injury statuses are key. This is probably more important than it has been in awhile. I’m writing this way too early for any of the official designations to be placed on players. I’m just trying my best to use all information available to make these selections. If, or better yet when, a injury designation appears and you’re not confident in how to interpret the NBA DFS consequences feel free to ask me on Twitter. Find me @TCollins1012.
Value Plays:
* Prices are listed as follows: DK/FD
Nic Claxton $4,200/$4,600 – Claxton at this point in the year is no surprise. If Aldridge plays it takes some of his value away but the value is still there. Is he going to go for 8x? No, but I think is floor is high, and has 6.5-7x value upside.
Taj Gibson $4,200/$4,200 – The last couple games Taj has been playing extremely well. I don’t see any reason that it would change here. Unless Julius Randal is announced to play I love Taj and set his upside at 7-8x, which I’ll take any day.
*Payton Pritchard $3,700/$3,700 – we’ve seen the recent minutes bump, with him playing 20, or more in his last two games and with Lonzo possibly being out I’m not afraid of the defense he’ll see. We have seen Payton struggle from deep this year, but we know he has the ability, and with him uping his attempt total last game if he continues that trend it’s only a matter of time before he starts knocking them down at a high clip and blows value out of the water. Obviously this NBA DFS play is GPP only, because we could also see him go for less than 10 fantasy points just as much as seeing him go for over 20.
Top High Priced Options:
*Russell Westbrook $11,000/$11,000 – obviously this play is assuming that Bradley Beal is going to sit. The high price is worth it knowing that without Beal his usage, and ball control will be through the roof.
*Zion Williamson $8,800/ $9,000 – I know some of the noise around Boston’s interior issues is a bit inflated, but it’s an issue nonetheless. I like Zion here being able to dominant the offensive and defensive boards, along with getting consistent good offensive looks.
* Karl Anthony-Towns $9,900/ $10,000 – With this game seemingly going to be the highest scoring game, and the fact that non of Brooklyn’s interior players scare me in a matchup with KAT I could easily see him having an insane fantasy night. Only issue here is if Brooklyn busts the game open and he sits if a blowout. As long as the stay competitive I love this spot for him.
Top Game Stacks:
*Minnesota vs. Brooklyn – With Minnesotas weak defense, and fast paced and coupled with Brooklyn’s ability to score with Kyrie being back this total is by far the highest of the slate coming in at 240.5. Now the tricky part of this is trying to figure out the Nets bench/rotation situation. With a total like this you’ve got to at least think about some kind of stack. If the Wolves can just stay relatively close in this game I really like a Harden, Kat pairing with value around. Maybe even trying to find salary for Harden, Kyrie, and Kat but that’s going to be tough.
*Boston vs New Orleans – with a game total set right now at 231 I would lean to this game based on the sole reason that it has a respectable total, and we can somewhat know what to expect from it. Sure, Lonzo is likely out, but that is nothing compared to the question marks most other games have. I also think with Kemba likely to play, and multiple options on New Orleans who can exploit Boston at the rim, it allows a variety of stack options.
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