A Week 5 matchups sees the Colts ship off to Cleveland — with the help of our expert analysis, you can be sure to win the week no matter what! Here’s how to bet Colts vs Browns.
Over/Under: 47.5
Spread: IND -2.5
Indianapolis continues to shock the world with their 3-1 record! Boasting arguably the league’s best defense has helped cover up problems on the offensive side of the ball. The emergence of Jonathan Taylor bodes well for this roster, though. Cleveland is coming off what can only be described as a Quentin Tarantino-endorsed shootout against the Cowboys. Cleveland was just a touchdown shy of covering the Over/Under themselves, scoring 49 points. Expect a regression, but how significant?
The Over/Under of this matchup is a far cry from last week’s at 47.5, given Indianapolis’ defensive prowess relative to that of Dallas. Vegas agrees that one team scoring 49 points is an outlier, and with good reason. The Colts have held all but one team below 12 points. Cleveland’s explosion last week had much less to do with the skillset of Baker Mayfield and everything to do with a heinously bad defensive showdown.
The Browns have allowed 30+ points over the last three games while scoring 34, 35, and 49 points in that span. Two of those games were against the 25th and 32nd ranked defenses, however, and one was against the Washington Football Team. The latter may be ranked 14th, but their only impressive showing was against the miserly Eagles.
The Browns will come back down to earth, yet will do so while at least enjoying the continued fall from grace of Philip Rivers. Getting to the quarterback will be tricky. Indianapolis continues to benefit from the best offensive line in the league. Rivers’ accuracy is a far cry from where it was two years ago, though. The Colts’ offense has succeeded in scoring 28 and 36 points in two of their last three. You can’t forget the matchups, however. They rank 18th in passing and 15th in rushing, so there is nothing blistering about this team.
Bet the under on Colts vs Browns with confidence. Rivers and Co. will be stymied into a humble victory. This will likely happen after Myles Garrett gets fired up.
Now to the spread. The Browns put up an embarrassing 6 points in their singular game against a formidable defense. That was Week 1 at Baltimore. The Colts will have no problem bottling Cleveland up, comfortably covering the spread.
Featured Image: via Indianapolis Colts
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